Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.172002 0.193602 0.216271 0.241780 0.269631 0.299060 0.332449
2025-03-16 0.141697 0.170727 0.202803 0.240682 0.283994 0.331774 0.388262
2025-03-23 0.123519 0.157846 0.197476 0.246196 0.304045 0.370093 0.450738
2025-03-30 0.106586 0.143911 0.188783 0.245995 0.316237 0.398882 0.502627
2025-04-06 0.092937 0.132120 0.181030 0.245489 0.327033 0.425546 0.552223
2025-04-13 0.081619 0.121854 0.173881 0.244577 0.336480 0.450174 0.599525
2025-04-20 0.073724 0.115138 0.170437 0.247668 0.350513 0.480406 0.654213
2025-04-27 0.068267 0.111103 0.169992 0.254280 0.368933 0.516384 0.716861
2025-05-04 0.061775 0.104865 0.165877 0.255369 0.379684 0.542418 0.767124
2025-05-11 0.057625 0.101613 0.165564 0.261418 0.397036 0.577307 0.829565
2025-05-18 0.054011 0.098782 0.165527 0.267629 0.414578 0.612698 0.893339
2025-05-25 0.048742 0.092812 0.160345 0.265955 0.420761 0.632642 0.936667
2025-06-01 0.044374 0.087985 0.156670 0.266432 0.430220 0.657672 0.988098
2025-06-08 0.040042 0.082772 0.151973 0.265001 0.436685 0.678552 1.034210
2025-06-15 0.037682 0.080721 0.152090 0.270814 0.453833 0.714744 1.102244
2025-06-22 0.034346 0.076576 0.148476 0.270518 0.461709 0.737795 1.152254
2025-06-29 0.031294 0.072626 0.144863 0.269928 0.468954 0.759945 1.201303
2025-07-06 0.028475 0.068809 0.141169 0.268919 0.475367 0.780870 1.248881
2025-07-13 0.026609 0.066659 0.140187 0.272239 0.488500 0.811872 1.311506
2025-07-20 0.025461 0.065841 0.141484 0.279359 0.507757 0.852326 1.388597
2025-07-27 0.023559 0.063247 0.139371 0.280529 0.517470 0.878590 1.445301
2025-08-03 0.022520 0.062386 0.140372 0.287043 0.535916 0.918380 1.522642
2025-08-10 0.021569 0.061619 0.141475 0.293732 0.554773 0.959125 1.602072